Why Should I invest in Texas?

Even better, why should I invest in The Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex?

The Lone Star State is known for its lower cost of living and ease of doing business, greater employment opportunities, and affordable housing.....


Appreciation and Depreciation Swings in the US

STRONG HOME PRICES GAINS-5 year annualized Price Growth as of Q2 2007

United States 7.8%

Looks good, doesn't it?

Source: Fannie Mae 2007


NOT SO STRONG HOME PRICES GAINS- One year Home Price Growth as of Q2 2007

What Happened?

Source: Fannie Mae 2007


HOME PRICE GROWTH IN THE US AND DALLAS

Year/Year Percent Change; US is in Blue and Dallas in Red

See the Pattern?

Source: Fannie Mae 2007


US AND TEXAS APPRECIATION

  • US Average increase: 5.5%
  • Texas Average increase: 4.1%
    • US 2Q 2007: 2.6%
    • Texas 2Q 2007: 6.4%
  • Reported 14 States with Annualized Home Price Declined in 2007
    • 1.Arizona -1.6%
    • 2.California -4.3%
    • 3.Connecticut -3.9%
    • 4.Florida -3.5%
    • 5.Massachusetts -4.1%
    • 6.Maine -0.9%
    • 7.Michigan -6.1%
    • 8. Minnesota -2.8%
    • 9. New Jersey -1.5%
    • 10. Nevada -5.9%
    • 11. New York -2.8%
    • 12. Ohio -0.5%
    • 13. Rhode Island -5.8%
    • 14. Vermont -2.8%
    • Source: Conventional Mortgage Price Index, State Annualized Quaterly Growth Rates

Now , do you really see the pattern?

Us and Texas Appreciation-purchase only index change year over year. Texas is in Yellow and US in Blue

Source: OFHEO University of Texas A&M


HOUSING SCORECARD

Source: Texas A&M University 2007 end of year

2006 peak of current housing cycle in Texas

•Sales-transaction volumes down about 3%, probably 5 to 10% by year end – a return to long-term “norm”
•Home prices across the state continue to rise
•Significant and needed decline in new home construction – permits down about 30% from ’06
•Period of “easy credit, easy terms” over
•Biggest current threat to market is recession
•Long-term outlook for Texas is substantially positive over next 25 years
Source: TexasA&M University 2007 end of year

Texas MSAs Housing Scorecard 2006-2007

Source: TexasA&M University 2007 end of year


US AND TEXAS MEDIAN HOME PRICE

Texas is a housing bargain.
The gap between the US and Texas median price has widened from around 25% to 33%.
Source: NAR; Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University


US & TEXAS HOUSING AFFORDABILITY

Ratio of Median Family Income to Required Income to Qualify for a Loan to Purchase the Median-Priced Home

Source: Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University

Cost of Living Index by ACCRA

It ranks a range of living expenses in major cities. The index measures differences among areas in the cost of of consumers services and goods, minus taxes and non consumers expenditures. It is also a measured of relative prices for consumer goods and services. The average is 100, and each participating index is read as a percentage of the average for all places. Even though prices have appreciated in texas in the last ten years, overall is an affordable place to live as of second quarter of 2005.

City Housing Composite Grocery Healthcare Transport Utilities
Atlanta 99.1 97.3 93.2 98 107.5 87.7
Austin 92.9 97.1 96.7 106.3 99.5 88.3
Boston 176.6 137.4 115.2 129.8 107.9 131.4
Chicago 105.8 103.9 102.8 102.7 105.7 112.4
Dallas/Ft. Worth 79.4 94.4 96.2 101.9 102.9 112.6
Denver 105.2 103 110.1 108.8 98.6 96.9
Manhattan 369.4 202.1 130.7 130.6 108.9 151.3
Phoenix 89.2 96.9 96.1 100.3 103.5 91.8
Raleigh 80.2 93.3 99.9 99.5 100.8 102.4
Salt Lake City 93.2 97.3 103.8 108 97.5 88.4
San Francisco 304.8 179.5 150.9 124.6 121.4 99
Seattle 128.9 116.4 116.4 116.9 110.9 103.9

 


Dallas and Fort Worth Cost of living

The next tables shows the cost of living in Dallas and Fort Worth. Assuming a salary of $60,000 in any city from the next table shows how much that would represent in Dallas and Fort Worth.

          Need to Make
Moving From  Dallas Fort Worth
Phoenix $72,418 $ 67,985
Detroit $67,362 $ 63,238
Washington $43,186 $ 40,542
San Francisco $31,989 $ 30,031
Boston $45,289 $ 42,516
Denver $64,141 $ 60,470
Miami $55,117 $ 51,743
Pittsburgh $73,270 $ 68,784
Houston $64,492 $ 60,543
Austin $65,138 $ 61,150
Seattle $52,686 $ 49,460
Philadelphia $53,019 $ 49,772
Atlanta $64,486 $ 60,538
New Orleans $ 8,030 $ 75,130
New York City $29,748 $ 27,927
Los Angeles $44,020 $ 41,325
Chicago $42,737 $ 40,120
Las Vegas $64,232 $ 60,299
Portland $69,581 $ 65,321
St. Louis $61,627 $ 57,854
Raleigh $71,259 $ 66,896
Durham $73,363 $ 68,872

Source: ACCRA


Population Growth & Demographic Overview

Texas population will grow almost twice as much as the whole country. Growth and prosperity will spread throughout the estate but mostly in urban areas.

•Texas is fastest growing state in absolute number of people
•Texas is a “younger” state than the US as a whole
•Immigration – foreign and domestic - is the major contributor to Texas population growth and probably is significantly undercounted
•Racial/Ethnic mix will reverse in the next 25 years
•Aging Boomers represent a primary force: An estimated 10,000 people a day will become eligible for Social Security benefits over the next two decades
US Population Growth 2007-2012
Source: Global Insight, Inc.

Averaging the projections results in an increase of 13.6 million people by 2030. Over the next 25 years, equivalent of adding:
another Dallas-Ft. Worth metropolitan area, plus another Houston metropolitan area, plus
another San Antonio metropolitan area, plus another Corpus Christi

Projected US and Texas Population Tables

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Texas State Demographers Average 22.9 25.2 27.7 30.3 33.2 36.4
Average Increase from 2005   2.4 4.9 7.5 10.4 13.6
Source: Texas State Data Center and office of the State Demographer, 2006 texas population projections program


Employment Growth

Top Job Creating States; Net New Job May 2006 to may 2007

Top Job Creating Markets; Net new jobs May 2006 to May 2007

 


More about where the economy is heading

Read these presentations about Real Estate, The Economy; The US and Texas

DFW Real Estate Forecast 2008 by Britt Fair at Hexter-Fair Title Company: THIS IS A MUST READ, DETAIL EXPLANATION ABOUT NORTH TEXAS MARKET
After reading these presentations you will understand better why there is a great opportunity to buy real estate in Dallas-Fort Worth.

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